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Medieval 2 unexpected error patch
This has serious implications, because the Met Offices HadCM3 model is used to determine the Governments climate projections, which influence policy. Mr Lewis concludes that the Met Office modelling is fundamentally unsatisfactory, because it effectively rules out from the start the possibility that both aerosol.
It says the world will continue to warm catastrophically unless there is drastic action to curb greenhouse gases with big rises in sea level, floods, droughts and the disappearance of the Arctic icecap.
One of the reports own authors, Professor Myles Allen, the director of Oxford Universitys Climate Research Network, last night said this should be the last IPCC assessment accusing its cumbersome production process of misrepresenting how science works.
The unexpected 'pause' means that at just 0.05C per decade, the rate is less than half the long-term trend. the Medieval Climate Anomaly (950).
LThe IPCC admits that while computer models forecast a decline in Antarctic sea ice, it has actually grown to a new record high. Again, the IPCC cannot say why. lA forecast in the 2007 report that hurricanes would become more intense has simply been dropped.
They are cited worldwide to justify swingeing fossil fuel taxes and subsidies for renewable energy. Yet the leaked report makes the extraordinary concession that over the past 15 years, recorded world temperatures have increased at only a quarter of the rate of IPCC claimed when.
Starting a week tomorrow, about 40 of the 250 authors who contributed to the report and supposedly produced a definitive scientific consensus will hold a four-day meeting in Stockholm, together with representatives of most of the 195 governments that fund the IPCC, established in 1998.
Now it does not give a likeliest value and admits it is likely it may be as little as 1.5C so giving the world many more decades to work out how to reduce carbon emissions before temperatures rise to dangerous levels.
Despite the many scientific uncertainties disclosed by the leaked report, it nonetheless draws familiar, apocalyptic conclusions insisting that the IPCC is more confident than ever that global warming is mainly humans fault.
Last night Professor Judith Curry, head of climate science at Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, said the leaked summary showed that the science is clearly not settled, and is in a state of flux.
She said it therefore made no sense that the IPCC was claiming that its confidence in its forecasts and conclusions has increased. For example, in the new report, the IPCC says it is extremely likely 95 per cent certain that human influence caused more than.
Prof Curry said: This is incomprehensible to me adding that the IPCC projections are overconfident, especially given the reports admitted areas of doubt. Head of climate science at Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, said the leaked summary showed that 'the science is clearly not.